Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Pavel Somov, Ph.D.: Gravity & Levity of Uncertainty

Pavel Somov, Ph.D.: Gravity & Levity of Uncertainty:

As of this writing moment, the Earth's human population is estimated to be 6,841,451,100. All of these 6.8 billion people are in the same exact "now." We are all at the exact same time: not a single one of us is either a nanosecond behind or a nanosecond ahead. We are all on time. Make no mistake: time-zones are spatial coordinates, not temporal (time) coordinates. Sure, you are awake reading this, perhaps, on a coffee break from work just as somebody somewhere is going to bed or waking up. Sure, we are all doing different things at this moment of you reading this, but we all - without exception - are in this exact one moment, driving blind into the future that doesn't yet exist.



What this means is that no one, not you, not me, not your favorite politician or stock broker or "seer" of any kind, knows a thing about the future that doesn't yet exist.



What this means is that out of 6.8 billion people that are breathing right now (their first, their next or their last breath) not a single one has been into the future and back to tell you definitively what it is like. The next moment of time hasn't happened yet for any of us to experience it and report it as a fact. And anyone claiming to know the future or promising you a particular version of the future is exaggerating their existential mandate. Remember: a promise is just a statement of intent, not a guarantee of a particular future outcome. After all, how can anyone guarantee the reality that hasn't yet happened, the tomorrow that doesn't yet exist?! Laugh at this future-telling naivette!



So, what are we to do about all this? How are we to operate on this chronic uncertainty? History - we are told by historians - has been our best bet, our best predictor of the future. But, to quote Colin Tudge, "The lessons of history are inevitably broad..." Indeed, the lessons of history are inevitably generic and time-specific, offering us at best approximate guidelines, or hints at what still might be.



And to continue with Tudge's astute observation: "... for no set of circumstance can ever be repeated precisely." Precisely so: there is no ultimate predictive precision! Predictive precision only approximates definitive knowledge but never equals it. Prediction, after all, is but an expression of belief about what might yet be, i.e. about the future that hasn't happened yet, about the reality that hasn't yet materialized, i.e. about the world that doesn't yet exist.



As informed and data-driven as our speculations, guesses, estimations might be about the future, a prediction is still only a prediction, and a belief is never knowledge. This chronic uncertainty is no more a problem than gravity: it simply is (a fundamental parameter of our existence). We see objects fall every day: we have long accepted this. We see predictions fail every day: we just have to accept this too. It's always been like that and, my guess, will always be like that. Let's face it: we are facing a Chronic Unknown, i.e. Time*. So, wink, with levity, at it and remember to acknowledge the timelessness of what still is.



*Chronic, from Greek khronikos "of time," from khronos "time." (etymonline.com)



Resources:



The Impasse of Certainty



References:



Colin Tudge, "The Time Before History: 5 Million Years of Human Impact" Scribner, 1996.









The Men Behind The War On Women

The Men Behind The War On Women

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Bill Maher Makes GOP Motivational Movie Reel (VIDEO)


On Friday night's "Real Time," Bill Maher touched on one of the most ridiculous aspects of the debt ceiling debate: the GOP's use of a scene from "The Town" as a motivational tool.

Like Jon Stewart did earlier this week, Maher suggested a few other scenes from movies that Republicans might want to draw inspiration from when trying to convince Tea Partiers to back their plan.

What do you think of his choices?

Friday, May 6, 2011

Robert Greenwald: With $42 Billion and 7 Homes, Why Are the Kochs Buying our Democracy?

To work in and for the government­, one cannot be opposed to it or work actively to weaken its power to regulate and provide services. All candidates should thus sign a pledge to do neither, before qualifying to run for office, and under penalty of removal from office for disobeying­. Thus, the P (for people ) party takes the place of the tea part monstrosit­y the Koch brothers and Dick Armey created, is borne.

Koch brothers offer cool cash, but alo subterfuge­. Electronic voting machines upon whose christenin­g its manufactur­ers guaranteed the presidency to George Bush, was also a 'think tank' creation that Koch money helped procure and has since become commonplac­e in 80 percent of country's voting precincts.

look within ourselves and ask how American democracy can be bought or people convinced that a bountiful government is something to be gotten rid of or 'cut.' While we realize there is always someone who will accept money to cheat, people voting against their own best interests is a scenario far more scarce in nature. There's not enough money to buy all of us out. And yet, people who said they wanted to get rid of medicare, social security, and somewhat guaranteed health care were unabashedl­y elected in droves, just precisely where it counted, all over the US.

Do you know that many tea partieres?

After the 'people are the government­' pledge, a reintroduc­tion to handcounte­d votes and a national day of election are my suggestioi­ns for the article/vi­deo Robert Greenwald: With $42 Billion and 7 Homes, Why Are the Kochs Buying our Democracy?

Saturday, April 23, 2011

Tennessee 'Don't Say Gay' Bill Advances In State Senate

Tennessee 'Don't Say Gay' Bill Advances In State Senate

First there was Don't ask, don't tell. Now, they want Don't say, don't teach. What's next--act first, think later and ignore symptoms till they go away?

We have elected public officials emanating cruelty like teenagers and possessing all the common sense of an ostrich.

America will have only reached her maturity as an advanced culture when the philosophical summation of anyone elses sexualituy is Don't know, DON't care!

Thursday, April 7, 2011

YouTube - Eagle Cam: Decorah, Iowa Eagle 3rd CHICK Hatches (LIVE VIDEO)

The New Chick



















I happened to tune into the Decorah eagle cam that has attracted the eyeballs of millions, as many wait patiently to watch the arrival of three baby bald eagles. The viewership has been so overwhelming that the site crashed Saturday after the first egg hatched. i THINK i SEE THE LAST BABY  spurt out of its eggin this video, which I just happened to tape. It's funny how the mother hides their exisitence from the male who flies in and must have been watching in the distance, until he  leaves. When the temptation to eat becomes too great for the mother, causing her to stir, he flies back in to take a look.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

Protect Ohio Families

Sign Up As A Petition Circulator

The ground fight to stop SB 5 is just beginning.

We need people from all over the state to step up to volunteer to circulate petitions to get a referendum against SB 5 on the ballot.

This effort will take thousands of people – just like you – volunteering to stand up for what they believe in. Will you join the fight and support working families?

Protect Ohio Families

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

"Pandora" by DWEND



I never feel I am finished writing this song, and wonder if any band can play it. Here I draft an orchestra from youtube clips, fashioning their original movement to 'Pandora's rhythm and swells

Friday, March 18, 2011

Anthony Weiner: Obama Is 'Not A Values Guy'

“He may desire to be a 'values' guy, but like HP contributo­r Sharon O'Connell recently blogged about Obama, he's avoided what she calls the 'power of real power.'
I think that's what Rep. Dennis Kucinich and Weiner are reiteratin­g and like me, are wondering when he will finally get from behind the process or procedure to stand with the less-polit­ically connected and true American majority--­the middle and poorer classes-- and in front of them to protect their rights.”
Anthony Weiner: Obama Is 'Not A Values Guy'